Background

The ASM Withdrawal Risk Retrieval Prediction Tool calculates the cumulative risk of seizure recurrence and long-term outcomes (e.g., seizure freedom) following the withdrawal of antiaeizure medications (ASMs) in seizure-free individuals. This tool is informed by meta-analytical data to guide individualized decision-making.

Variables Used:

  1. EEG Findings:
    • Options include “Normal” or “Pathological.”
    • Indicates whether EEG findings showed epileptiform activity before withdrawal.
    • Normal EEG correlates with a lower risk of recurrence compared to Pathological EEG.
  2. Time Since ASM Withdrawal:
    • A slider to input the time (in months) since ASM withdrawal began.
    • Calculates evolving risks based on longitudinal data.

Outputs:

  1. Risk of Recurrence:
    • Predicts the cumulative likelihood of seizure recurrence over time, helping physicians identify critical milestones for patients with varying EEG findings.
    • The tool highlights significant differences in risk between Normal and Pathological EEG groups.
  2. COSY (Chance of an Occurrence of a Seizure in the next Year):
    • Indicates the likelihood of seizure occurrence in the next year for individuals, considering all patients or EEG-specific subgroups.

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