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This tool providesthe cumulative risk of seizure recurrence over time and the likelihood of experiencing a seizure in the upcoming months, based on the presence or absence of perilesional edema in solitary calcified neurocysticercosis.

Variables Used:

1. Presence of Edema:

   • “Yes” indicates perilesional edema, significantly increasing the risk of seizure recurrence due to persistent neuroinflammation.
   • “No” indicates the absence of edema, associated with a lower recurrence risk and a more favorable prognosis.

2. Time (Months):

   • The model tracks seizure recurrence and probability dynamics across 12 months.

Outputs:

1. Cumulative Risk of Seizure Recurrence:

   • Provides the total percentage risk of seizure recurrence over time. For patients without edema, the risk reaches 18% by 12 months. For those with edema, the risk rises steeply to 69% by 12 months.

2. Chance of an Occurrence of a Seizure in the next Month (COSM):

   • Estimates the chance of a seizure in the next month.